Shu Zhang

Shu Zhang

IAM Modeler, Researcher on Sustainable and Net-Zero Futures
Room C203, Energy Sciences Building, Tsinghua University, Haidian, Beijing, China, 100084, Beijing, China.

About

Dr. Shu Zhang is an Assistant Professor and interdisciplinary researcher at Tsinghua University, specializing in energy-environment-economy modeling and cross-sectoral analysis for sustainable development. With a robust publication record in journals like Nature Sustainability and Nature Communications, he develops and applies advanced models to quantify uncertainty in decarbonization pathways, informing strategic policymaking for global and national climate goals. His expertise bridges technical analysis with economic and policy implications, driving impactful research in low-carbon transitions.

Work

Institute of Energy, Environment and Economy, Tsinghua University
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Assistant Professor

Beijing, Beijing, China

Summary

Leading interdisciplinary research on energy-environment-economy interactions, developing advanced models for decarbonization pathways, and contributing to strategic policymaking at Tsinghua University.

Highlights

Developed and applied the China TIMES energy-environment-economy model to explore integrated decarbonization pathways across energy, transport, buildings, and industry sectors.

Quantified uncertainty in decarbonization pathways using probabilistic frameworks, enabling robust policy recommendations for integrated low-carbon transitions.

Authored and co-authored over 10 publications in high-impact journals such as Nature Sustainability, Nature Communications, and Engineering, providing new insights into low-carbon transition costs and potentials.

Contributed evidence-based insights to support strategic policymaking for national and international climate change initiatives.

International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA)
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Visiting Scholar

Laxenburg, Lower Austria, Austria

Summary

Conducted advanced research on interdisciplinary climate and energy systems within a leading international research institution.

Highlights

Collaborated with international experts on complex energy and climate modeling projects, contributing to global sustainability research.

Engaged in interdisciplinary discussions and workshops to advance understanding of cross-sectoral synergies in energy transitions.

Contributed to research initiatives focused on integrated assessment modeling and sustainable development goals.

Education

Tsinghua University
Beijing, Beijing, China

Ph.D.

Management Science & Engineering

Courses

Thesis: Assessing the Energy Transition, Synergies and Uncertainties toward Carbon Neutrality in China (Supervisor: Prof. Wenying Chen)

Tsinghua University
Beijing, Beijing, China

B.Fin.

Finance (Minor)

Tsinghua University
Beijing, Beijing, China

B.Eng.

Electrical Engineering (Major)

Courses

Core field: Power load forecasting (Supervisor: Prof. Chongqing Kang)

Tsinghua University
Beijing, Beijing, China

B.Econ.

Economics (2nd degree)

Courses

Core field: Behavioral Economics

Awards

Best Paper

Awarded By

Journal of Energy and Climate Change

Awarded for outstanding contribution to research published in the Journal of Energy and Climate Change, recognizing influential work on assessing China's province-coordinated power system carbon-neutral transition pathway.

ESI Highly Cited Paper, ESI Hot Paper, Featured paper

Awarded By

Nature Sustainability

Recognized for significant impact and high citation count in Nature Sustainability, highlighting influential research in targeting net-zero emissions while advancing sustainable development goals in China.

ESI Highly Cited Paper, ESI Hot Paper, Best Paper

Awarded By

Engineering

Awarded for outstanding contribution to research published in Engineering, recognizing influential work on China's Energy Transition Pathway in a Carbon Neutral Vision.

ESI Highly Cited Paper, ESI Hot Paper

Awarded By

Nature Communications

Recognized for significant impact and high citation count in Nature Communications, highlighting influential research on assessing China's energy transition towards carbon neutrality with a probabilistic framework.

Publications

Exploring the feasible net-zero transition pathway in China considering energy system flexibility.

Published by

Nature Communications.

Summary

Co-authored publication in press, analyzing feasible net-zero transition pathways in China with consideration for energy system flexibility.

The Development Process of CCUS in China Towards Carbon Neutrality: Insights from International Experience.

Published by

Climate Change Research

Summary

Co-authored publication providing insights into the development process of Carbon Capture, Utilization, and Storage (CCUS) in China, drawing from international experiences.

Sub-technology market share strongly affects critical material constraints in power system transitions.

Published by

Nature Communications 16, 1285

Summary

Co-authored publication demonstrating how sub-technology market share significantly impacts critical material constraints during power system transitions.

Assessing China's province-coordinated power system carbon-neutral transition pathway.

Published by

Journal of Energy and Climate Change 1, 1-15

Summary

Co-authored Best Paper in 2025, assessing China's province-coordinated power system pathways towards carbon neutrality.

Building a net-zero power system under future climate conditions with data-driven forecasting and adequacy assessment.

Published by

Energy.

Summary

Working paper (in peer review) on building a net-zero power system under future climate conditions using data-driven forecasting and adequacy assessment.

The Role of Shared Autonomous Electric Vehicles in Decarbonizing China's Passenger Transport Sector.

Published by

Applied Energy.

Summary

Working paper (in peer review) exploring the role of shared autonomous electric vehicles in decarbonizing China's passenger transport sector.

Probabilistic scenarios reveal the impacts of China's energy system net-zero transition on the water-energy-food nexus.

Published by

Environmental Science & Technology.

Summary

Working paper (in peer review) analyzing the impacts of China's energy system net-zero transition on the water-energy-food nexus through probabilistic scenarios.

Climate-driven impacts in renewable resources alter green hydrogen supply.

Published by

Nature Climate Change.

Summary

Working paper (in peer review) investigating how climate-driven impacts on renewable resources affect green hydrogen supply.

Targeting net-zero emissions while advancing other sustainable development goals in China.

Published by

Nature Sustainability 7, 1107–1119

Summary

Co-authored ESI Highly Cited, Hot, and Featured paper, examining strategies for achieving net-zero emissions while advancing sustainable development goals in China.

Provincial pathways to carbon-neutral energy systems in China considering interprovincial electricity transmission development.

Published by

Applied Energy 375, 123953

Summary

Co-authored publication detailing provincial pathways to carbon-neutral energy systems in China, with a focus on interprovincial electricity transmission development.

China's multi-sector-shared CCUS networks in a carbon-neutral vision.

Published by

iScience 26, 106347

Summary

Co-authored publication on multi-sector-shared Carbon Capture, Utilization, and Storage (CCUS) networks within China's carbon-neutral vision.

China's industrial decarbonization in the context of carbon neutrality: A sub-sectoral analysis based on integrated modelling.

Published by

Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 170, 112992

Summary

Co-authored publication conducting a sub-sectoral analysis of China's industrial decarbonization using integrated modeling for carbon neutrality.

China's Energy Transition Pathway in a Carbon Neutral Vision.

Published by

Engineering 14, 64-76

Summary

Co-authored ESI Highly Cited, Hot, and Best Paper in 2022, outlining China's energy transition pathway towards a carbon-neutral vision.

Assessing the energy transition in China towards carbon neutrality with a probabilistic framework.

Published by

Nature Communications 13, 87

Summary

Co-authored ESI Highly Cited and Hot Paper, assessing China's energy transition towards carbon neutrality using a probabilistic framework.

Assessing Representative CCUS Layouts for China's Power Sector toward Carbon Neutrality.

Published by

Environmental Science & Technology. 55, 11225-11235

Summary

Co-authored publication evaluating representative Carbon Capture, Utilization, and Storage (CCUS) layouts for China's power sector to achieve carbon neutrality.

Modeling the Rapid Development of Electric Vehicles and Energy Storage Technology Under China Carbon Neutral Scenario Based on China-TIMES Model.

Published by

Proceedings of 12th International Conference on Applied Energy

Summary

Conference proceeding modeling the rapid development of electric vehicles and energy storage technology within China's carbon neutral scenario using the China-TIMES model.

Load probability density forecasting by transforming and combining quantile forecasts.

Published by

Applied Energy 277, 115600

Summary

Co-authored publication on load probability density forecasting through transformation and combination of quantile forecasts.

Languages

Chinese
English

Skills

Research & Analysis

Energy-Environment-Economy Modeling, China TIMES Model, Decarbonization Pathways, Uncertainty Quantification, Probabilistic Frameworks, Cross-Sectoral Analysis, Climate Change Mitigation, Sustainable Development, Policy Analysis, Data Analysis, Integrated Assessment Modeling, Power Load Forecasting, Behavioral Economics, Financial Analysis, Carbon Neutrality, GHG Emissions Modeling.

Scientific Communication & Leadership

Academic Writing, Scientific Publication, Peer Review, Editorial Leadership (Energy and Climate Management), Lead Author (National Assessment Reports), Project Leadership (Principal Investigator), Grant Management, International Collaboration, Stakeholder Engagement, Presentation Skills.

Technical Tools & Methodologies

Statistical Modeling, Econometric Analysis, System Dynamics, Scenario Planning, Probabilistic Forecasting, Model Development, Data Visualization.

Projects

Fifth National Assessment Report on Climate Change (Volume 3 Chapter 2)

Summary

Lead Author for Volume 3, Chapter 2 of the Fifth National Assessment Report on Climate Change for the Ministry of Science and Technology of China (MOST).

CO2 driven technology for significant enhanced oil recovery and long-term sequestration, WP6: Planning Study for CO2 Oil Diversion and Sequestration Development

Summary

Key Member in a national project on CO2 capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS) technologies.

Hydrogen Energy and Hydrogen-based Fuel Supply Potential and Development Pathway in China under the Carbon Neutrality Target

Summary

Principal Investigator for a project funded by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC) focusing on hydrogen energy development.

New Pathways for Equitable Climate Action in Line with the Paris Agreement and Sustainable Development (NEWPATHWAYS)

Summary

Key Member in a Horizon Europe project focusing on equitable climate action.

China's green hydrogen, green ammonia and green methanol fuel development pathways under the carbon neutrality target

Summary

Principal Investigator for an international joint mission on climate change and carbon neutrality, focusing on green fuel development.

Enhanced sharing of good practices on greenhouse gas emissions modelling between EU and Asian countries (COMMITTED)

Summary

Key Member in an EU project focused on enhancing greenhouse gas emissions modeling practices.

Research on Electricity Transition Pathways and Policies under the Carbon Neutral Vision 2060

Summary

Key Member in a major MOE project researching electricity transition pathways and policies.

Methodological research on carbon emission accounting for the nuclear energy industry chain

Summary

Key Member in methodological research on carbon emission accounting for the nuclear energy industry.

Exploring National and Global Actions to reduce Greenhouse gas Emissions (ENGAGE)

Summary

Key Member in a Horizon 2020 project exploring national and global actions for GHG emission reduction.

Green China: Towards Cleaner and More Sustainable Growth

Summary

Key Member in a World Bank Group project focused on promoting cleaner and more sustainable growth in China.

Synthesis Report 2022 on China's Carbon Neutrality: Electrification in China's Carbon Neutrality Pathways

Summary

Lead Author for the Synthesis Report 2022 on China's Carbon Neutrality, focusing on electrification pathways, for Energy Foundation China.

Socio-Techno-Economic Pathways for sustainable Urban energy development (STEP-UP)

Summary

Key Member in an NSFC international cooperation project on urban energy development.

Research on Global Governance and Domestic Responses to Climate Change Risks, WP6: Simulation of synergistic governance pathways to address climate change and the economy, society and environment in China

Summary

Key Member in a national R&D program on climate change governance and domestic responses.

Multi-model innovations in Integrated Assessment Modelling of Global, Chinese, and Irish energy-economy-environment-climate systems investigating deep decarbonization pathways from the Paris Agreement to the United Nations sustainable development goals (CHIMERA)

Summary

Key Member in an NSFC international cooperation project on multi-model integrated assessment modeling.

Research on Green and Low-carbon Economy Transformation Management and Policy, WP4: Study on international climate governance and cooperation mechanisms

Summary

Key Member in a major NSFC program on green and low-carbon economy transformation management and policy.

Linking Climate and Development Policies-Leveraging International Networks and Knowledge Sharing (CD-LINKS)

Summary

Key Member in a Horizon 2020 project linking climate and development policies.